Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 54.728649 62.496824 70.518883 79.388296 88.887003 98.723869 109.650337
2025-04-27 43.862060 54.987907 67.071704 81.031297 96.580898 113.248876 132.348195
2025-05-04 36.226643 48.963072 63.350825 80.518064 100.175212 121.739827 146.952652
2025-05-11 30.258810 43.947905 59.987449 79.682281 102.770610 128.588896 159.268086
2025-05-18 26.257272 40.731420 58.252115 80.299282 106.653057 136.580585 172.599492
2025-05-25 22.452007 37.299990 55.876859 79.818747 108.969782 142.549565 183.435604
2025-06-01 19.592718 34.763946 54.340909 80.121309 112.022328 149.222807 194.963295
2025-06-08 16.652753 31.786814 51.979044 79.173359 113.380478 153.759436 203.887298
2025-06-15 14.938519 30.342720 51.472211 80.444970 117.359568 161.344641 216.348519
2025-06-22 13.476698 29.104785 51.121009 81.821486 121.399875 168.959709 228.822303
2025-06-29 11.515834 26.881200 49.252308 81.080828 122.681645 173.161727 237.173291
2025-07-06 9.444822 24.216192 46.566159 79.090942 122.247920 175.170180 242.811412
2025-07-13 8.928027 24.115736 47.578182 82.127835 128.327875 185.284450 258.371459
2025-07-20 8.147017 23.464610 47.727433 83.955694 132.837017 193.468890 271.624849
2025-07-27 6.896447 21.791227 46.226601 83.408001 134.179484 197.665744 279.986470
2025-08-03 5.737497 20.104478 44.579944 82.558178 135.051278 201.222006 287.527968
2025-08-10 5.004709 19.151724 44.010751 83.187689 137.851863 207.188181 298.028085
2025-08-17 4.160612 17.808092 42.715840 82.697061 139.099139 211.151146 306.030767
2025-08-24 3.547693 16.862001 42.002906 83.006023 141.392598 216.428088 315.657387
2025-08-31 2.831105 15.495861 40.479619 82.037945 141.890769 219.366413 322.343264
2025-09-07 2.495439 15.033640 40.480534 83.336536 145.492286 226.303602 334.044951
2025-09-14 2.206458 14.635493 40.563459 84.742062 149.235151 233.426676 345.992439
2025-09-21 1.723886 13.520787 39.275239 83.985820 149.929784 236.563291 352.903521